Does a 60/40 Balanced Portfolio Still Work? Time to Jettison Non-U.S. Stocks?
Feb 8, 2023
27:32
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Quick takeaways
Traditional 60-40 portfolios are evolving to include non-US stocks and additional asset classes for diversification and success.
Despite facing losses in 2022, 60-40 portfolios historically show resilience with positive annual returns and offer simplicity and diversification for investors.
Deep dives
The Evolution of Portfolio Construction
As the years progressed, traditional 60-40 portfolios have evolved to include non-US stocks, small cap stocks, and additional asset classes like real estate trusts and private investments. While these additions may seem complex, understanding one's investments is crucial to success, especially during challenging financial years.
Performance of 60-40 Portfolios
In 2022, 60-40 portfolios faced a significant loss, attributed to simultaneous drops in both stock and bond values. However, historically, these balanced portfolios have shown resilience, with annual positive returns outweighing negative ones. The simplicity and diversification offered by the 60-40 mix have provided an average return of 6-7% between 1999 and 2022.
Alternative Portfolio Perspectives
While some experts advocate for maintaining the 60-40 portfolio as a solid baseline investment strategy, others propose diversifying with additional asset classes like foreign equities, value stocks, and emerging market stocks. By understanding the implications of varying asset allocations and investing principles, investors can tailor their portfolios to meet their desired returns.
What are the pros and cons of a simple stock and bond portfolio consisting of two funds or ETFs? Given U.S. stocks have significantly outperformed the rest of the world over the past decade, is there even a role for non-U.S. stocks in your investment portfolio?
Topics covered include:
How have 60/40 and similar portfolios performed over the long-term
What are the advantages and disadvantages of a 60/40 portfolio
What is the expected return of a 60/40 portfolio and what should be included?
What has contributed to U.S. stocks outperforming non-U.S. stocks over the past decade
Why have emerging markets stocks done so poorly
What has to happen for U.S. stocks to continue to outperform non-U.S. stocks