Radiolab

What If?

Oct 23, 2020
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INSIGHT

Wargames Reveal Realistic Failure Paths

  • Rosa Brooks turned a casual worry about a disrupted transfer of power into structured war games to explore realistic outcomes.
  • The exercises revealed plausible, fast-moving failure paths in institutions rather than mere hypotheticals.
INSIGHT

Structured Play Made Outcomes Plausible

  • The simulations used sequential turns with media and legal realism enforced by a 'White Cell' to keep moves plausible.
  • This produced faster-than-expected escalation and shock among participants.
INSIGHT

Ambiguity Fuels Competing Victory Claims

  • An ambiguous election outcome can prompt immediate, competing claims of victory and calls to halt counting.
  • Early in-person returns favoring one side plus later mail ballots create predictable 'blue shift' dynamics that fuel disputes.
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