DeepSeek, Trump’s Tariffs & Interest Rates: Investing Smarter in 2025
Feb 11, 2025
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Explore how AI innovations are impacting the stock market, particularly with NVIDIA's recent struggles. Understand the ramifications of Trump's tariffs on global markets and inflation, especially within mining and manufacturing sectors. The podcast also dives into how upcoming elections can sway market volatility and investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of policy over personalities. Finally, it underscores long-term investment approaches amidst fluctuating trends, steering investors away from reactionary tactics.
The emergence of DeepSeek demonstrates that effective AI solutions can be achieved with less hardware, challenging Nvidia's market dominance.
Trump's tariffs introduce significant uncertainty in global markets, potentially increasing volatility across multiple sectors and impacting profitability.
Deep dives
The Impact of DeepSeek on AI and Nvidia
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI technology company, has significantly disrupted the AI landscape by demonstrating that less hardware can achieve comparable results. Unlike competitors such as ChatGPT, which required 16,000 Nvidia chips for training, DeepSeek has proven capable with only 2,000 chips. This revelation has raised concerns about Nvidia's previously unshakeable dominance in the AI market, leading to a notable decline in its stock value. The market reaction showcases how investor sentiment can cause substantial price fluctuations, which in this case resulted in Nvidia losing $600 million in one day.
Trump's Tariffs and Global Trade Tensions
Trump's implementation of tariffs on trade partners like China and Canada is creating uncertainty in global markets, raising concerns about potential volatility. These tariffs can directly impact various sectors, including tech, mining, and manufacturing, significantly affecting their profitability and share prices. Furthermore, such trade wars are based on uncertainty, which markets historically dislike, leading to increased market fluctuations. Australia's economy, closely tied to China, may experience slower growth in its mining sector if China's economy continues to weaken due to these tariffs.
The Future of Interest Rates
Interest rates are a major concern for investors, particularly with the potential for rate reductions anticipated in Australia. Recent announcements from the NAB about dropping mortgage rates suggest that banks expect the RBA to follow suit, which could have various positive effects on the housing market and consumer spending. Lower mortgage rates typically make borrowing more affordable, potentially stimulating sectors such as real estate and retail. However, this could negatively impact banks themselves, as lower rates may reduce their profitability from home loans.
Investing Strategies Amid Market Changes
Diversification remains a key strategy for navigating the ever-evolving investment landscape, as different sectors may thrive or struggle at various times. For instance, while tech and real estate may flourish due to lower interest rates, the banking sector could experience slower growth. Investors are encouraged to remain patient and view market dips as opportunities to buy quality stocks at lower prices. Overall, successful investing is about long-term strategies rather than chasing fleeting market trends, emphasizing the need for ongoing education and a balanced portfolio.
The investing world in 2025 is full of change—but is that a bad thing? AI is shaking things up (again), Trump’s tariffs are making headlines, and interest rates are keeping us on our toes. But what does it actually mean for your money? If investing news feels like a mix of big headlines and even bigger question marks, we’ve got you. Markets move fast, but smart investing isn’t about chasing trends. So, let’s break it all down (no finance degree required) and help you invest with confidence, not confusion.
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