Power & Politics

Carney deal with Alberta's Smith will support oil pipeline: sources

Nov 24, 2025
Anita Anand, the Federal Minister of Foreign Affairs, discusses Canada's strategic re-engagement with India amid trade negotiations and security dialogues. Scott Moe, Saskatchewan's Premier, emphasizes his provincial support for pipeline initiatives and the discussions with federal leaders. Political analyst Rob Russo examines the implications of the new memorandum of understanding and its potential political risks, while strategist Brad Levine highlights the pushback from British Columbia and the broader impact on federal decisions.
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INSIGHT

Pipeline Pathway Through Conditional Tradeoffs

  • The Ottawa-Alberta MOU would trade federal regulatory carve-outs for Alberta commitments on industrial carbon pricing and carbon capture support.
  • The deal aims to create conditional political support for a pipeline while requiring Alberta to strengthen its climate measures.
INSIGHT

MOU Is A Political Green Light, Not Construction Plan

  • The MOU frames a path to a potential pipeline but does not guarantee construction or a private proponent.
  • Federal support appears political and conditional, leaving major engagement with British Columbia and First Nations ahead.
ADVICE

Bring B.C. And First Nations Into Talks

  • Engage British Columbia and coastal First Nations early and substantively rather than excluding them from talks.
  • Secure indigenous buy-in, potential equity, and clear spill-response plans to reduce legal and political risk.
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