MetaLearn Podcast

ML165: Annie Duke on Learning from Experience, Overcoming Analysis Paralysis and How To Make Better Decisions

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Mar 24, 2021
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INSIGHT

Learning from Games

  • Games like chess, backgammon, and poker teach valuable decision-making skills.
  • They highlight the roles of complexity, hidden information, and luck in decision outcomes.
INSIGHT

Paradox of Experience

  • Experiencing good outcomes can hinder learning more than bad outcomes, as they discourage critical analysis.
  • Post-mortems are crucial for both successes and failures to identify areas for improvement.
ANECDOTE

The 2016 Election

  • In 2016, Hillary Clinton prioritized certain states over Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan based on polling data.
  • After her loss, this was deemed a grave mistake, ignoring the polling error and limited foresight.
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