Babel: Translating the Middle East
Analysis: Developments in the Israel-Hamas War
Oct 24, 2023
Jon Alterman, director of the Middle East Program at CSIS, discusses the latest developments in the Israel-Hamas war. Topics include the coordinated attacks by Hamas, impact on US foreign policy, President Biden's efforts to recalibrate the US-Israel relationship, and the role of the United States in the conflict.
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Quick takeaways
- Both sides in the Israel-Hamas war prefer measured escalation to avoid a full-blown war with Hezbollah, considering Lebanon's economic crisis.
- The US emphasizes political outcomes and long-term strategy in engaging with Israel, while providing aid packages to gain support for American interests.
Deep dives
Escalation with Hezbollah and Arab states' reaction to the conflict
There is a likelihood of escalation with Hezbollah, but both sides prefer measured escalation. Hezbollah wants to make their presence felt on the northern border, but they fear a full-blown war with Israel due to Lebanon's economic crisis. Arab governments, while hating Hamas, are sympathetic to Palestinian lives. Governments in the Gulf may criticize in private, while Levant countries may witness public protests. The governments are trying to navigate sustaining their strategic alignment with Israel while defending the lives of Palestinian civilians.
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