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Make Me Smart

What we can learn from a past tariff tiff

Feb 12, 2025
Inu Manak, a trade policy expert at the Council on Foreign Relations, explores the lessons from the historic Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act. He discusses the potential ramifications of modern tariffs under Trump's leadership and how protectionist policies could hurt the U.S. economy. Manak warns that these measures may give rise to a self-fulfilling prophecy regarding U.S.-China relations. The conversation also lightens up with surprising ties to the film "Ferris Bueller's Day Off" and local meat sourcing!
21:26

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act serves as a historical warning that protectionist trade policies can lead to severe economic downturns, as seen in the Great Depression.
  • Current tariffs under the Trump administration may disproportionately impact the U.S. economy due to the high percentage of trade in GDP and reliance on intermediate goods.

Deep dives

Consequences of Smoot-Hawley Tariffs

The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 significantly impacted the U.S. economy by raising tariffs on various goods in a bid to help alleviate the Great Depression. This resulted in a drastic collapse of trade, with imports plummeting by 41% from 1930 to 1932 and a staggering drop in the Gross National Product by almost 30%. The retaliation from trading partners exacerbated the situation, leading to a further downturn in economic conditions. This historical event serves as a cautionary tale for current trade policies, illustrating how protectionist measures can lead to unintended consequences that may deepen economic crises.

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