ChinaTalk

How will Beijing Respond to the War in Ukraine?

Apr 1, 2022

Bonny Lin, Director of the China Power Project at CSIS and an expert in Chinese foreign policy, dives into Beijing's response to the Ukraine war. She discusses the PLA's possible adaptations based on lessons learned and how U.S. intelligence comparisons might shift China's military strategies regarding Taiwan. The conversation also delves into China's careful balancing act with Russia, examining future implications for national security and the geopolitical landscape. Lin highlights the challenges in analyzing defense policy amidst such complex international dynamics.

44:05

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Episode guests

Bonny Lin

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Episode notes

Intro

2min

China's Lessons from Ukraine

14min

China's Strategic Balancing Act

6min

Geopolitical Dynamics in the Ukraine Conflict

11min

Navigating Challenges in Engaging Mainland Scholars for Dialogue

2min

Navigating Sensitivity and Cultural Connection

6min

CSIS' Bonny Lin joins to discuss how Beijing is responding to the war in Ukraine, potential future paths for Chinese policy, whether the IC could pull the same intelligence coups in Beijing as they did in Moscow, how the PLA may adapt to lessons from in theater, and what Biden should do if Putin drops a tactical nuclear weapon.

This show was recorded on March 31st.

Bonny's testimony on Beijing and the war in Ukraine https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA05/20220330/114573/HHRG-117-FA05-Wstate-LinB-20220330.pdf

Check out Bonny's piece on military blunders https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR768.html

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