ChinaTalk PLA Purges + Taiwan War Risk
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Oct 25, 2023 
In this discussion, Joel Wuthnow, a senior research fellow at the National Defense University, shares his expertise on China's recent military purges under Xi Jinping. He explains how these purges reflect Xi's ongoing distrust within the PLA and highlight systemic corruption issues. Wuthnow also delves into the implications for Taiwan, pointing out the risks of military conflict as Xi advances hypersonic missile capabilities. Amidst the reshuffling, the potential for an aggressive miscalculation regarding Taiwan remains, showcasing the complexities of Chinese military ambitions.
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Deng's Bargain and PLA Corruption
- Deng Xiaoping's bargain with the PLA in the 1980s led to increased autonomy but also corruption.
- Lack of civilian oversight contributed to the PLA becoming secretive and poorly supervised.
PLA Corruption and Foreign Influence
- PLA officers often resorted to importing luxury cars or engaging in procurement graft to rise through the ranks.
- Foreign intelligence agencies potentially exploited this corruption by supporting officers on the take.
Xi's Dilemma: PLA Corruption
- Xi Jinping faced a dilemma upon taking power: needing to address widespread corruption without gutting the entire PLA.
- He targeted corrupt officials associated with political rivals first.