Logan Mohtashami: BlackRock is not buying any homes
Dec 2, 2024
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Logan Mohtashami, Lead Analyst at HousingWire, debunks the myth that Wall Street is buying up a significant share of homes. He emphasizes the pivotal role of primary homebuyers in driving current housing demand as we head into December. The conversation covers seasonal trends affected by the pandemic and rising mortgage rates, while stressing market recovery signs. Mohtashami also addresses challenges in new home sales, particularly for builders facing labor shortages amid fluctuating affordability.
The podcast dispels the myth that Wall Street, particularly BlackRock, is significantly impacting the housing market, emphasizing the dominance of individual investors instead.
Recent data indicates a strong surge in housing demand with a 52% growth in purchase applications, suggesting a healthier market outlook moving forward.
Deep dives
Debunking the Wall Street Homebuying Myth
The misconception that Wall Street, particularly companies like BlackRock, is buying up vast quantities of homes is addressed and debunked. In reality, it is Blackstone that participates in home purchases, accounting for a mere fraction of the housing market. Analyses over the years reveal that institutional buyers, including Blackstone, only purchased about 200,000 homes from 2011 to 2017, representing less than 0.6% of the market total of over 35 million homes. This narrative has been repeatedly manipulated to foster a distrust of Wall Street without acknowledging the significant role of individual investors, often referred to as 'mom and pop' investors, who dominate the real estate market.
Surge in Housing Purchase Applications
Recent trends indicate a significant uptick in purchase application data, with a year-over-year growth rate of 52% reported. This increasing demand mirrors a positive shift in pending home sales, suggesting a more stable housing market than in the past few years. The last 25 weeks have shown a consistent positive demand curve, a notable pattern absent during previous market fluctuations. As mortgage rates hover below 6%, continued demand growth is anticipated, making it possible for the housing market to achieve a healthier status.
Regional Differences Impacting Home Sales
The analysis highlights the differing impacts of rising mortgage rates across various regions, particularly in the South. Homebuilders are facing challenges related to increased property taxes and insurance costs, limiting their ability to operate effectively. While the overall housing market remains resilient, areas most affected by weather events, like hurricanes, are seeing significant drops in construction and purchase activity. It's essential to recognize that various economic factors, along with regional trends, will continue to shape the housing landscape as rates fluctuate and demand rises.
On today’s episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the idea that Wall Street is buying up all the homes and the unusually strong housing demand we’re seeing as we head into December.
The HousingWire Daily podcast examines the most compelling articles reported across HW Media. Each morning, we provide our listeners with a deeper look into the stories coming across our newsrooms that are helping Move Markets Forward. Hosted and produced by the HW Media team.