Shift Key with Robinson Meyer and Jesse Jenkins cover image

Shift Key with Robinson Meyer and Jesse Jenkins

Have China’s Emissions Already Peaked?

Jan 8, 2025
Lauri Myllyvirta, co-founder and lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, discusses China's emissions landscape. He explores whether China's coal emissions have peaked despite ongoing new coal projects. The conversation dives into the booming electric vehicle market and its implications for urban air quality, alongside China’s rapid renewable energy growth. Myllyvirta also addresses the structural challenges facing the country's transition to sustainable energy, highlighting the complexity of its policies.
01:03:07

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Quick takeaways

  • China's emissions may have plateaued due to significant growth in renewable energy, yet challenges in energy demand persist.
  • The rise of electric vehicles in China enhances urban air quality and symbolizes progress in reducing transportation-related emissions.

Deep dives

China's Emission Trends and Clean Energy Transition

China is currently the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases, contributing over 30% of global emissions. Recent discussions suggest that Chinese emissions may have plateaued or even peaked, which would be a significant development for global climate efforts. This plateau results from a remarkable acceleration in the deployment of clean energy, particularly solar and wind, with over 260 gigawatts of solar capacity added in a year alone. However, rapid energy demand growth, especially in energy-intensive manufacturing, poses challenges to achieving a sustained decline in emissions.

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