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Buy less, pay more?
May 1, 2025
President Trump acknowledges that tariffs are making life more expensive for American consumers, fueling concerns about a potential recession. The hosts discuss how economic uncertainty prompts some shoppers to reconsider luxury purchases, like gourmet cheese. They define recession in modern terms and explore the impact of rising costs on consumer behavior. Investments in technology are on the rise, sparking debate about whether this signals resilience or just a strategy against inflation. The importance of accurate financial information is also stressed.
10:47
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Quick takeaways
- The evolving definition of recession emphasizes widespread economic declines rather than just two quarters of negative GDP growth, causing confusion about current conditions.
- Uncertain economic conditions and tariffs have led to significant drops in consumer spending on luxury items, despite some business sectors experiencing growth.
Deep dives
Understanding Recession Definitions
The definition of a recession has evolved, moving away from the simplistic notion of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Currently, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research determines when a recession occurs based on widespread declines in economic activity that last several months. This means that if certain sectors experience downturns while others remain stable, it may not necessarily indicate a recession overall. As such, the lack of a concrete, immediate declaration about a recession's occurrence can lead to confusion regarding economic conditions.
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