This Is Not A Drill with Gavin Esler The Decider? Trump’s plan for Ukraine
Feb 6, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Ben Hodges, former commander of the U.S. military in Europe, dives into the complexities of the Ukraine conflict. He evaluates Donald Trump's claim of resolving the war in 24 hours and whether he has the influence to mediate peace between Putin and Zelenskyy. Hodges unpacks the harsh realities on the ground, critiques potential shifts in U.S. military aid under a Trump presidency, and discusses NATO relationships and defense strategies amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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Episode notes
Russia's Limited Advance
- Russia's incremental gains in eastern Ukraine are less significant than they appear.
- Their slow advance over 11 months demonstrates their limited capacity for a decisive breakthrough, despite the narrative of inexorable progress.
Trump's Leverage
- Trump's stance on Ukraine remains uncertain, but his leverage over Putin is stronger now.
- Trump might prioritize personal gain and US interests in negotiations, focusing on benefits related to Ukraine, Russia, and China.
Gaining Leverage with the US
- Ukraine can gain leverage by implementing reforms, addressing corruption, and strengthening economic ties with the US.
- Focus on areas of interest to Trump, such as rare minerals and energy supplies, rather than solely moral or ethical arguments.