Revolution in Military Affairs Franz-Stefan Gady - An Update from Ukraine
62 snips
Nov 24, 2025 
Franz-Stefan Gady, a military analyst and founder of Gady Consulting, shares critical insights on the war in Ukraine. He discusses the 'stably bad' strategic landscape, highlighting that while Russia maintains some momentum, the likelihood of imminent collapse is low. Gady examines the quality of Russian infantry, the impact of weather on military operations, and Ukraine's static defense strategy. He warns against misinterpreting lessons from this conflict and emphasizes that successful outcomes depend on the integration of technology, tactics, and doctrine.
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Stably Bad Strategic Trajectory
- The conflict is "stably bad" for Ukraine: the situation is stable but trending negatively.
- Russia grinds attritional gains while taking heavy casualties and slowly improving drone operations.
Pincer Aim On Donbass
- Russia appears to aim to seize the remainder of the Donbass and pinch Slovyansk/Kramatorsk from multiple axes.
- Success would likely delay any genuine ceasefire or negotiations until Moscow achieves those gains.
Russian Manpower Is Endurable
- Russia can still replenish losses and modestly grow its force but hasn't achieved planned massive expansion.
- Manpower is not exhausted for 2026, making a continued Russian campaign plausible.
