Saxo Market Call

Is there any surprise scenario for tomorrow's FOMC?

18 snips
Sep 16, 2025
The discussion kicks off with a look at the significant gains in US equities, spotlighting Alphabet and a surprising revival of an old tech stock thanks to AI. Anticipation builds around the upcoming FOMC meeting, prompting speculation on why the Fed might hesitate to cut rates. The US dollar appears to be losing ground, raising questions about the fading hawkish stance. Finally, the conversation delves into trends driven by geopolitical tensions and their impact on the market.
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INSIGHT

Risk Indicator Diverges From Equity Highs

  • The Saxo Global Risk Indicator hasn't signaled the new highs that US indices have reached, showing divergence.
  • Such divergence sometimes precedes big market tops but is not yet decisive here.
INSIGHT

Geopolitics Influences Tech And Trade Bets

  • Geopolitics remain an undercurrent, with US-China talks and TikTok deal chatter affecting stocks like Oracle.
  • Trade détente or tariffs could reshape protected
ADVICE

Prepare For Options Expiry Volatility

  • Position portfolios for heavy options expiries around third Friday September witching.
  • Expect elevated volatility and adjust option exposures accordingly.
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