The Commentary Magazine Podcast Did Trump Blink?
20 snips
Jan 15, 2026 The panel dives into Trump's recent retreat from military intervention in Iran, questioning if it was a smart tactic or a sign of hesitation. They explore the complexities of military action and historical parallels, notably to Hungary in 1956. Discussions include the risks of U.S. credibility, Trump's evolving foreign policy doctrine, and the role commerce plays in decisions. The idea of viewing states as distressed assets sparks debate on strategy and moral implications. Ultimately, the talk emphasizes the necessity for prudence in a complicated global landscape.
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Trump's Possible Strategic Retreat
- John Podhoretz argues Trump may have 'blinked' on Iran after being warned the regime won't collapse quickly.
- He suggests Trump prefers limited wins over risking a large-scale war or regime-change campaign.
Don't Threaten Without Commitment
- Abe Greenwald warns not to put U.S. credibility on the line unless you're willing to follow through militarily.
- He urges leaders to avoid threats they won't execute because they risk long-term reputational damage.
Hungary 1956 as a Cautionary Tale
- John Podhoretz compares U.S. actions toward Iran to the 1956 Hungarian Revolution and Eisenhower's mixed signals.
- He warns false expectations of rescue produced tragic consequences then and could again now.
