David Riley On US Debt Sustainability, the Reflation Trade and Corporate Defaults

David Riley is Partner and Chief Investment Strategist of BlueBay Asset management – a USD70bn fixed income fund. Before Bluebay, David was global head of Fitch’s Sovereign and Supranational Group, responsible for more than 130 ratings of the world’s largest fixed-income issuers. Prior to Fitch, David was at HM Treasury where he advised on international economic and debt issues, including representing the UK at international debt restructuring negotiations at the Paris Club of Official Creditors. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. How sustainable are US and developed market debt?
2. Will the reflation trade continue for 2021?
3. Peak pessimism on Euro-area.
4. Dollar trend.
5. Will corporates start defaulting?
6. Impact of higher rates on credit.
7. Which EM markets look attractive?
8. The impact of ESG on the asset management industry.
9. Books that influenced David: Fooled By Randomness (Taleb), Thinking, Fast and Slow (Kahneman), Trade Wars Are Class Wars (Klein, Pettis), Balance Sheet Recession (Koo).