Bloomberg Talks

ECB's Kazaks Talks Central Bank Pressure

Jan 15, 2026
Martins Kazaks, Governor of the Bank of Latvia and ECB Governing Council member, dives into the challenges facing central banks today. He warns that pressure on leaders like Jerome Powell could inflate expectations. Kazaks advocates for joint defense debt in Europe and stresses the importance of structural reforms for economic resilience. He highlights the risks of short-term political decisions undermining policy credibility. With a keen eye on data-driven approaches, he remains cautious about the impacts of geopolitical events on monetary policy.
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INSIGHT

Independence Anchors Inflation Expectations

  • Martins Kazaks warns that undermining central bank independence risks higher inflation expectations and a harder policy adjustment.
  • He says independence enabled lower sacrifice ratios by preserving credibility during inflation fights.
INSIGHT

Short‑Term Politics Threaten Stability

  • Short‑termist or populist politics could threaten central bank independence and harm long‑term stability.
  • Kazaks warns such shifts would produce negative outcomes for European populations.
ADVICE

Stick To Data‑Dependent Meetings

  • Keep policy decisions meeting-by-meeting and data dependent rather than providing strong forward guidance.
  • Martins Kazaks recommends markets focus on the ECB's reaction function, not preset rate promises.
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