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Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Gangbuster GDP

Oct 27, 2023
Discussion on gangbuster GDP growth in the third quarter. Analysis of consumer spending and speculation about Taylor Swift's influence. Trends in consumer spending and private investment. Factors affecting GDP growth. Strength of new home sales and shift towards lower price points. Resilient GDP report and nervousness about the economy.
48:38

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Quick takeaways

  • GDP growth in the third quarter exceeded expectations, driven by strong consumer spending and increased business investment, indicating a resilient and strong economy.
  • Residential investment showed renewed strength in the housing market, with growth for the first time in nine quarters, signaling positive signs for the market despite risks of higher interest rates and limited inventory impacting buyer demand.

Deep dives

Strong GDP growth in the third quarter

GDP growth in the third quarter was 4.9%, exceeding expectations. This growth rate was the highest since the end of 2021 and was broad-based across all sectors of the economy. Consumer spending played a significant role in driving this growth, with strong spending on both goods and services. Business investment also increased, particularly in residential fixed investment, which saw growth for the first time in nine quarters. Government spending contributed positively to GDP, with both federal and state/local spending seeing increases. The only detractor from growth was net exports, which had a small negative impact. Overall, the GDP report suggests a strong and resilient economy.

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