On Investing

Navigating Tariffs & Inflation (With Dr. Richard Clarida)

Feb 7, 2025
Kathy Jones chats with Dr. Richard Clarida, a seasoned economist and PIMCO’s global economic advisor, about pressing economic issues. They delve into how current tariffs are reshaping the bond market and influencing Federal Reserve policy. Clarida shares insights on the Fed's structure and the importance of transparent communication, especially amid inflation uncertainties. They also discuss critical economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index and what investors should keep an eye on to navigate the shifting landscape.
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INSIGHT

Bond Market Confusion Over Tariffs

  • The bond market is confused by tariffs' mixed effects on short-term and long-term rates.
  • Tariffs raise short-term rates but slow growth, causing uncertainty about Federal Reserve rate cuts.
ADVICE

Stay Calm Amid Tariff Volatility

  • Avoid reacting hastily to tariff news due to market volatility and unpredictability.
  • Focus on long-term goals rather than trying to trade around short-term tariff developments.
INSIGHT

Tariffs' Inflation Impact is Limited

  • Tariffs are taxes on imports that usually raise import prices, but not always inflation.
  • Fed views tariff price rises as level effects unless inflation expectations become unanchored.
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