One Decision When Will Putin's War Machine Break Down?
Oct 23, 2025
Mark Galeotti, a prominent Russian military scholar and author, joins the discussion to unravel the complexities of Putin's war in Ukraine. He reveals how Putin, surrounded by yes-men, believes he's winning while burning through Russia's future. Galeotti warns of the long-term economic damage and the unpredictability of a post-Putin Russia. He also addresses military morale, potential succession scenarios, and the importance of rearming Europe in response to Russian aggression. His insights offer a sobering look at the ongoing conflict.
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Putin Believes Russia Is Winning
- Vladimir Putin genuinely believes Russia is winning in Ukraine, supported by yes-men around him.
- This perception drives decisions that burn through Russia's future to sustain the campaign.
Both Sides Lose, Ukraine More Vulnerable
- Both sides suffer, but Russia can currently absorb higher casualties and keep sending men to the front.
- Wars are won by breaking capacity and will, and Ukraine faces medium-term recruitment and energy vulnerabilities.
War Is Gutting Russia's Economy
- Putin is 'burning through Russia's future' by reallocating resources to the defense sector at civilian expense.
- Dependence on China and depleted savings will produce long-term economic and social costs.
