The CTO Playbook

80: Gut Instinct in Tech Leadership: When to Trust It, When to Challenge It

10 snips
Jan 27, 2026
They unpack gut instinct as experience compressed into quick pattern-matching signals. Real coaching stories show roadmap dilemmas, staged modernization choices, and when fast instincts saved or failed leaders. A practical three-question tool and a six-step playbook teach how to name, test, and train instincts without killing their speed. The conversation focuses on spotting weak domains, using data to validate feelings, and learning from retrospectives.
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ANECDOTE

CTO Who Stayed Silent And Paid

  • James felt a slow, heavy sense that the roadmap mix was wrong based on past failure.
  • He doubted his gut after a prior mistake and stayed silent, which led to missed deadlines and incidents.
INSIGHT

Gut Is Compressed Experience

  • Gut instinct is experience compressed into a fast pattern-matching signal.
  • It gives feelings like a tight chest or sinking feeling before conscious explanation arrives.
INSIGHT

Treat Gut Like A Cache

  • Treat your gut like a cached function: fast and often right but sometimes stale.
  • The cache excels when inputs match prior runs and fails when environment changes.
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