

Global Data Pod Weekender: A whole lotta shakin’ goin’ on
17 snips May 24, 2025
The discussion opens with the shifting economic landscape influenced by trade policies and tariffs. Speakers delve into recent global indicators, highlighting the resilience of the manufacturing sector despite uncertainties. They analyze GDP growth complexities and the challenges of forecasting recession risks amid policy changes. Fiscal policies come under scrutiny, particularly regarding Congress's spending decisions and their impact on economic growth. Lastly, the podcast highlights the historical context of structural deficits, urging a reassessment of fiscal responsibility in today's climate.
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Sentiment Shock Partially Unwinds
- Sentiment shocks from March and April are partially unwinding.
- Future output components in PMIs and regional surveys reflect this rebound.
Economic Resilience Amid Front Loading
- Economic activity remains resilient with strong CapEx and export orders.
- Front loading of demand reflects uncertainty about future tariff hikes.
Balancing Strength and Uncertainty
- Underlying economic strength coexists with front loading.
- Uncertainty remains about the extent and timing of upcoming weakness.