Forward Guidance This Is What Capitulation Feels Like | Weekly Roundup
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Apr 4, 2025 
Tony Greer, a macro investor acclaimed for his market insights, and Jared Dillian, a financial commentator and author, dive into the impact of Trump’s tariffs on market dynamics. They discuss navigating risk as traders during this turbulent time, focusing on commodities, Bitcoin's surprising resilience, and strategies for weathering volatility. Insights into tax policy implications and the significance of managing market expectations round out their engaging conversation, blending analysis with actionable trading advice.
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Market Timing and Capitulation
- Now is the time to close out hedges, and next week consider buying calls.
- Markets will bring any world leader to their knees, and pain will continue until policy changes.
Trump's Strategy and Bond Yields
- Trump will likely push pro-growth policies as the next step in his plan, not remove tariffs.
- The market pullback and volatility might be a strategy to lower bond yields.
Kudlow's Influence and Debt Refinancing
- Trump listens to Larry Kudlow more than people think, and Kudlow likely orchestrated the market situation.
- The goal may be to lower bond yields and refinance debt, as the stock market is recoverable.