Hidden Forces Ending the Ukraine War: A Reset in U.S.-Russia Relations? | Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Michael Kofman
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Mar 3, 2025 
Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a senior fellow and director at the Center for a New American Security, and Michael Kofman, a senior research scientist at the Center for Naval Analyses, dive into the intricate negotiations between the U.S. and Russia over the Ukraine war. They discuss the evolving power dynamics within Russia, the significance of casualty reporting, and the implications for European security. The duo also critiques U.S. foreign policy strategies, especially during the Trump administration, while exploring the complex influences of China and nuclear doctrines on global relations.
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Negotiating Positions
- Russia's negotiating position remains maximalist, demanding Ukraine's full subjugation.
- The U.S. seems to be weakening its leverage by taking options off the table.
Differing Objectives
- Russia seeks a decisive victory and concessions on European security and sanctions relief, not just an end to the war.
- The U.S. administration's primary goal is ending the war quickly, creating a weaker negotiating position.
Trump's Motivation
- President Trump's desire to end the war is driven by a focus on reducing casualties and a desire to be seen as a peacemaker.
- A flawed peace deal now risks greater future suffering, but this might not concern Trump if it occurs after his term.