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The Circuit

Episode 98: 2024 Semi Recap and Outlook Into 2025

Dec 21, 2024
The podcast dives into the shifting dynamics of the semiconductor market as it heads into 2025. It highlights Nvidia's impressive growth and contrasts it with the struggles of AMD and Intel. The hosts explore the growing significance of AI in shaping market trends, including the rise of custom ASICs. Insights on Google's TPU technology reveal its cost advantages in AI workloads. The conversation also touches on the broader implications of these changes for tech investment strategies and the evolving landscape of corporate partnerships.
36:44

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Nvidia faces a growth slowdown due to size constraints and market expectations, indicating a potential shift in the semiconductor landscape.
  • The semiconductor market is expected to experience reduced growth rates in 2025, affecting companies like AMD and Intel amid evolving demands.

Deep dives

NVIDIA's Current Market Position

NVIDIA has experienced fluctuations in its stock price recently, raising questions about whether its impressive growth trajectory is coming to an end. Despite being down for the month, it remains up significantly for the year, but analysts anticipate that the company's growth rate will not sustain the extreme levels seen in prior years. The discussion revolves around expectations for NVIDIA's upcoming earnings, which are predicted to reflect more modest growth compared to previous instances where the company vastly exceeded estimates. This change in performance is attributed to the law of large numbers, where it becomes mathematically challenging for a company of NVIDIA's size to maintain triple-digit growth indefinitely.

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