In this Crypto 101 Podcast episode, Tevo, Brian, and Joe tackle one of Bitcoin’s most volatile weeks, analyzing extreme fear, historic drawdowns, and market capitulation signals. They emphasize that despite short-term panic, fundamentals remain intact — with institutions, states like New Hampshire, and ETF providers continuing to build and accumulate. The discussion covers algorithmic trading pressure, overleveraged markets, and the “fastest bear market ever,” suggesting a rebound could be near. The team closes on a hopeful note, spotlighting Solana ETF inflows and reminding listeners that “nothing has changed with Bitcoin’s fundamentals.
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Chapters
00:00 — Intro: market volatility, community strength, and setup for the Bitcoin decline discussion.
05:57 — Chart breakdown: historical Bitcoin drawdowns and perspective on volatility.
09:16 — Bitcoin capitulation: 99% of short-term holders in loss; realized losses hit FTX-collapse levels.
11:38 — Fear & Greed Index near record lows; extreme fear signals potential market bottom.
16:17 — Macro overview: algorithmic trading, lack of clear recovery catalyst, and market overreactions.
18:01 — Joe’s macro take: leverage, AI bubble parallels, and retail vs institutional behavior.
19:19 — RSI analysis: oversold levels similar to COVID and FTX lows, signaling possible bottom.
23:46 — “Bitcoin is dead” chart discussion; Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan’s upcoming interview teased.
24:50 — Positive news: New Hampshire launches first Bitcoin-backed municipal bond.
26:59 — Institutional adoption: Solana ETFs see 17 straight days of inflows despite price decline.
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