Join Guy Chazan, the Financial Times' Berlin bureau chief, Dr. Constanze Stelzenmuller from the Brookings Institution, and Marcel Fratzscher, president of DIW Berlin, alongside economist Thiemo Fetzer, as they dive into the turbulent landscape of contemporary German politics. They tackle the alarming rise of the far-right AfD party, dissect the challenges of coalition governance, and explore Germany's economic stagnation amid rising energy costs. Insightful discussions on voter motivations and the implications for future elections add depth to this critical analysis.
The rise of the far-right AfD party in Germany reflects a complex interplay of identity politics, economic decline, and community dislocation.
Germany's economic struggles, stemming from stagnation, high energy costs, and dependency on exports, threaten its competitiveness and political stability.
Deep dives
The Rise of the Far-Right AFD Party
The far-right AFD party, known as Alternativa für Deutschland, has gained significant traction in recent regional elections, particularly in East Germany. Unlike other far-right groups in Europe that have moderated their positions, the AFD has grown increasingly radical, adopting ethnonationalist and xenophobic stances, especially towards immigration. The party's popularity is notable even in regions with low foreign populations, as they capitalize on local economic decline and a sense of lost control among voters. This shift reflects broader societal trends, where a combination of identity politics, economic disparity, and a perceived erosion of community has propelled the AFD's agenda into mainstream political discussion.
Economic Challenges in Germany
Germany's economy, once a powerhouse in Europe, is now experiencing stagnation and struggle, recovering poorly from the impacts of the pandemic and the energy crisis following the invasion of Ukraine. High energy costs, particularly affecting energy-intensive industries like automotive and machinery, contribute to a lack of competitiveness on the global stage. Coupled with reduced consumer confidence and a failure to transition to greener technologies, these issues have exacerbated Germany's economic fragility. Export dependency on markets like China has further complicated matters, as local industries find themselves outmaneuvered by new, agile competitors within those regions.
Fragmentation and Political Instability
The political landscape in Germany is witnessing fragmentation, as traditional parties struggle to form coalitions due to rising voter volatility and the strong presence of new political entities like the Zara-Wagenknecht alliance. With regional elections revealing the challenges of coalition governance, mainstream parties face a dilemma in addressing the AFD's popularity without compromising their platforms. Political gridlock threatens the credibility of representative democracy and may create fertile ground for extremist groups. As the next national elections approach, the need for clear leadership and decisive action to address both political and economic issues becomes critical for the stability of the German state.
David Aaronovitch and guests discuss the challenges facing Germany. Worries over the economy and immigration have seen the far right AfD party gain support in the former east Germany.
Guests:
Guy Chazan, Berlin bureau chief at the Financial Times
Dr Constanze Stelzenmuller, Director of the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings Institution
Marcel Fratzscher, President DIW Berlin - German Institute for Economic Research and Professor at Humboldt University Berlin
Thiemo Fetzer, Professor of Economics at Warwick and Bonn Universities
Presenter: David Aaronovitch
Producers: Caroline Bayley, Kirsteen Knight and Ben Carter
Sound engineer: James Beard
Editor: Richard Vadon
Production Co-ordinator: Gemma Ashman
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