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On Investing

Key Signals from the Fed & How to Manage Risk

Jan 19, 2024
Discussion on Fed policy, including balance sheet developments and rate cuts. Managing risk in a portfolio, asset allocation, emotional risk tolerance, and risk considerations in fixed income investments. Reading recommendations and analysis of Fed meetings from 2018.
26:09

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve's potential rate cut is signaled by the slowing down of quantitative tightening and the end of the bank term funding program.
  • Managing risk in a portfolio involves considering both financial risk tolerance and emotional risk tolerance, diversifying investments, and periodically rebalancing to mitigate risk.

Deep dives

Fed Policy and Balance Sheet: New Developments and Potential Rate Cuts

The podcast discusses the new developments in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and their potential impact on interest rates. One development is the quantitative tightening, where the Fed reduces the size of its balance sheet by letting bonds mature without replacing them. The Fed is expected to slow down this process, indicating a possible cut in interest rates. Another development is the bank term funding program, which allows banks to borrow money from the Fed. This program is scheduled to end in March, signaling a reduction in support for the financial system. These developments show that the Fed is preparing for a potential rate cut and provides important signals to the market.

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