Johan Bruyneel and Spencer Martin discuss the upcoming Tour de France Stage 18, predicting a breakaway winner over GC contenders. They analyze top riders like Matthew Hunderpool and Wout Van Art based on form and race history. The podcast explores exhaustion's impact on performance, weight's role in cycling, and betting odds for the stage. The episode ends with reflections on cyclists' performances, Jersey classifications, and anticipation for future Tour stages.
Stage 18 of Tour de France favors breakaway victory over General Classification contenders.
Mathieu van der Poel and Wout Van Aert are top favorites for the challenging climbing stage win.
Deep dives
Opinions on the Favorite Riders and Stage Difficulty
The podcast discusses the upcoming stage of the Tour de France, emphasizing that it will not be a day for the General Classification contenders but rather suited for a potential breakaway victory. The hosts express their opinions on favorite riders, with a focus on Mathieu van der Poel as a strong contender due to his climbing abilities and motivation to win a stage in the Tour. The stage is described as challenging with significant climbing, making it more suitable for riders like van der Poel.
Favorites for Winning the Stage
The hosts deliberate on potential winners for the stage, highlighting Wout Van Aert as a top choice due to his form and performance, especially considering his teammate, van der Poel's presence in the race. Ben Healy is mentioned as a dark horse for the stage win, with his past victories and ability to attack on climbs making him a promising candidate at attractive odds. Axel La Gavner is also mentioned as a wild card pick for the stage due to his recent performances and climbing capabilities.
Analysis on Potential Winner Strategies
The hosts further analyze potential winners for the stage, discussing the strategies and chances of riders like Lascano, Matthews, and Jorgensen. Lascano is highlighted as potentially running out of form and punch, indicating a lack of acceleration seen in previous stages. They consider Magnus Cort Nielsen's fatigue after a strong effort in the previous stage and express doubts about Matthews' recent performances. Jorgensen is mentioned as a rider with impressive results this year, making him a valuable contender at long odds for a stage victory.
Welcome to WEDŪ's stage preview and prediction-focused show, OŪTCOMES, which is hosted by THEMOVE regulars Johan Bruyneel, who has led teams to nine Tour de France titles as a director, and Spencer Martin, author of the Beyond the Peloton in-depth race breakdown newsletter. The duo uses their extensive knowledge of the sport to attempt to predict the outcome of each Tour de France stage while breaking down the course, top contenders, and potential betting opportunities. This episode previews the Tour's 18th stage, a 180-kilometer trip through a series of lower alpine climbs that should produce a dynamic day of racing and position the peloton for its final major mountain stages. Listen in to see how the duo thinks the action will play out, who will come out on top, and which riders present the best betting value.
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