John Mearsheimer: Why the EU Can't End Russia Ukraine War

The speakers criticize Western leaders—especially European and U.S. officials—for maintaining unrealistic expectations about achieving a "just and lasting peace" in Ukraine that includes full Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity. They argue this vision is impossible because it is fundamentally unacceptable to Russia, which sees NATO expansion and a Western-aligned Ukraine as existential threats due to its historical invasions. The conversation asserts that Russia has non-negotiable security demands and that peace will ultimately be decided on the battlefield. The West, particularly Europe, is accused of clinging to false hopes that U.S. policy—especially under a potential Trump administration—might eventually align with theirs. However, the speakers argue that this is futile, as Russia is likely to win regardless of U.S. involvement. Continued resistance by Ukraine and Europe, instead of encouraging compromise, further incentivizes Russia to secure a military victory that ensures Ukraine can never join NATO or the EU. The discussion ends with skepticism toward the EU's "porcupine strategy" of arming Ukraine to deter Russia, suggesting it may only prolong the conflict rather than lead to peace.

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