Open Championship Picks and Predictions

Jul 16, 2025

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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush
-Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open
-4 matchups
-2 t10's
-2 futures outrights, 1 outright added
-Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups
-Scoring, best bet
For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

🏌️‍♂️ Chris Gotterup’s rise: Won Scottish Open after going into the final round tied with Rory McIlroy; 2-under front and back on final day despite being put on the clock.

🌦️ Weather forecast: Wind gusts up to 25mph Thursday; mild rest of the week with possible showers—advantageous for accurate drivers and strong iron players.

📊 Rory McIlroy’s readiness: Opened at 8-1; sharper than 2019; recent finishes of 19th (U.S. Open), 6th (Travelers), and 2nd (Scottish) show peak form.

🧠 DeChambeau a fade: Lacks adaptability for windy, changing conditions and fescue greens; poor performance history across the pond.

🏅 Adam Scott analysis: Opened 80-1; gained strokes off the tee and with irons last week; even par on moving day cost him a top finish.

💥 Top matchups: Picks include Fleetwood, Hovland, and Schauffele over DeChambeau; Sink over Zach Johnson based on recent senior tour performance.

📈 Statistical sleepers: Christopher Reitan for top 20 (6-1) with positive strokes gained across tee and greens; Matt Fitzpatrick and Russell Henley picked for top 10.

⛳ Xander Schauffele: Opened 28-1; 68 straight cuts made; sharp driving accuracy and irons, slightly off on putting lately.

💸 Best bet: Anton Rosner to finish top Frenchman at 3-1; consistently outperforming other French golfers in the field.

🧩 Rory added as outright: Based on recent performance surge and favorable conditions, Doctor adds him as a single outright bet at 8-1.

(0:14–0:45) Will Doctor opens with high energy, introducing Week 29 of PGA season, featuring the final major: the 153rd Open Championship at Royal Portrush.
(0:46–2:00) Weather outlook: Mild to moderate wind; rain Thursday morning and possibly over the weekend; favorable for experienced links players.
(2:01–10:20) Chris Gotterup's win: At Scottish Open, played consistent 4-under final round. Beat top players, despite on-course time pressure, proving his form with strong ball striking and length.
(10:21–15:40) Adam Scott and Harry Hall recap: Both underwhelmed slightly; Hall opened hot but collapsed on the weekend, while Scott played consistent but lacked a weekend push.
(15:41–20:30) Robert McIntyre: Poor Scottish performance, especially in driving, but historically capable at Portrush. Holds a 40-1 ticket from December, still seen as viable.
(20:31–30:00) Rory McIlroy analysis: Missed 2019 cut at Portrush due to nerves. Now enters in top form—2nd at Scottish, strong all-around stats—favorable pick over Scheffler and Rahm.
(30:01–40:00) Picks and fades: Scheffler passed on due to putting woes on fescue. Rahm inconsistent with putter and driving accuracy. DeChambeau faded for scientific playstyle and poor Open track record.
(40:01–50:00) Additional odds board picks: Fleetwood, Schauffele, and Hovland analyzed for iron play and putting form. Shane Lowry and Morikawa criticized for inflated odds despite lack of results.
(50:01–60:00) Matchups and sleeper: Fleetwood/Hovland/Xander all picked over DeChambeau. Sleeper is Christopher Reitan for top 20. Best bet: Anton Rosner top Frenchman.
(60:01–end) DraftKings lineup and first-round picks: Rory, McIntyre, Henley, Fitzpatrick, Scott, and Reitan chosen. Three-ball first-round matchups favoring Oosthuizen, McCarty, and Reitan over lesser competitors.

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