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Americano: Is 2024 a ‘flip election’?
Feb 6, 2024
Pollster Patrick Ruffini joins Freddy Gray to discuss the 2024 US election. They delve into the disconnect between the strong economy and Biden's poll numbers, the potential for a 'flip election', the role of postal voting, and the similarities between the 2024 and 2020 elections.
30:57
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Quick takeaways
- Improved economy does not translate into support for Biden, who needs to narrow the gap on economic issues to carry the day with his other campaign issues.
- Republicans are seen as more trusted on the economy, Biden needs to motivate their base and attract independent voters on economic matters.
Deep dives
Biden's struggle to gain support despite improving economic sentiment
Despite rising consumer sentiment and optimism about the American economy, Joe Biden has not seen a significant political upside from this. The improved economic numbers do not seem to translate into support for Biden. This may be due to people's perception of the pre-COVID Trump economy, which was viewed favorably. Biden's challenge is not necessarily to beat Trump on the economic issue, but to narrow the gap enough so that his other campaign issues can carry the day.