Germany's housing crisis is explored, with high construction costs, falling demand, and regulations causing difficulties for the construction sector. The government's efforts to revive housing construction are discussed. The podcast also examines the housing crisis in Ireland and the mistakes made in social housing provision. The impact of COVID-19 on construction companies and the labor shortage in different countries are highlighted. The challenges and obstacles facing the German housing market are explored, including the post-reunification construction boom and subsequent downturn.
Germany's housing construction sector is facing a crisis due to high construction costs, falling demand, and burdensome regulations and bureaucracy.
The under supply of affordable housing is a common issue across Europe, driven by lack of public funding and increasing demand, leading to a growing housing crisis.
Deep dives
Germany's housing construction sector faces a crisis
Germany's housing construction sector is experiencing its biggest slump in decades, with a significant shortage of new homes being built. The government's goal of adding 400,000 new homes per year has been missed by hundreds of thousands. The construction industry is facing a range of challenges, including soaring costs of building materials and a lack of funding. Additionally, the lengthy and decentralized building permission system in Germany is contributing to delays in getting projects started. The government has introduced measures to promote affordable housing, including tax incentives and funding for social housing, but it remains to be seen if these efforts will be enough to revive the industry.
Europe is also facing a housing crisis
Germany is not alone in experiencing a housing crisis. Similar patterns of under supply of housing can be seen in other European countries, including Denmark, Austria, and France. Reasons for the under supply vary, but a common issue is the lack of public funding for social housing. The demand for affordable housing is rising, with a growing population and increasing homelessness in many urban areas across Europe. Building new homes is crucial, but it requires stable financing, regulatory stability, and the development of new skills in the labor market. Without addressing these challenges, the housing crisis is likely to worsen in the coming years.
Lessons from Ireland and cycles in the housing market
Ireland has faced similar housing challenges and has repeated some of the mistakes made in Germany. High rates of social housing privatization and a collapse in housing output during the financial crisis have contributed to the shortage of affordable homes. The Irish government has intervened in the market by buying abandoned projects and providing subsidies to developers. The housing sector is considered a critical political issue, and stability in regulation and funding is crucial. Germany has experienced long cycles of building booms and busts, but experts believe that the current situation may not be as severe as the downturn after the reunification. However, with high costs and a lack of new orders, Germany's construction crisis is far from resolved.
The German government was elected with a plan to build 400,000 new homes a year – but it fell short last year by over 100,000. The country’s house building industry is in crisis, with hundreds of companies going into liquidation this year as order books are emptying and demand for new homes has fallen. So why can’t Germany build enough homes?
A combination of high construction costs caused by inflation since the Covid pandemic, and increases in interest rates in recent years has produced a difficult business environment for a construction sector that is a significant part of the German economy. Along with falling demand, industry experts fear that regulations and bureaucracy are a factor in causing the crisis.
Charmaine Cozier hears from:
Dirk Salewski President of the German Housebuilding Federation who attended a recent summit hosted by Chancellor Olaf Scholz when the government announced a 14 point plan to revive housing construction.
Alice Pitinni is the research director at Housing Europe, the European Federation of Public Co-operative and Social Housing and says there is a growing affordable housing crisis in Europe.
Ireland has endured it's own housing crisis in the past - Michelle Norris, is professor of social policy at University College Dublin, and says Ireland has repeated some of Germany’s mistakes.
Jens Boysen-Hogrefe is a senior economist at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy – he says the country faces a tough situation, that worse is yet to come, but it is not a repeat of the post-reunification boom and bust of the 1990s.
CREDITS
Presenter - Charmaine Cozier
Producer - Phil Reevell.
Researcher - Matt Toulson
Editor - Tara McDermott
(Photo: A construction worker is seen on the roofing for a new residential building in Dortmund, western Germany, on April 18, 2023) (Photo by INA FASSBENDER/AFP via Getty Images)
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