FICC Focus

2025 High Grade and High Yield Outlook, US vs. EU: Credit Crunch

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Dec 11, 2024
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INSIGHT

Credit vs. Rates

  • Credit offers higher returns while being less volatile than rates.
  • This makes credit an attractive choice for fixed-income allocators.
INSIGHT

Breakeven Analysis

  • While raw spreads suggest tight credit conditions, breakeven analysis reveals a different picture.
  • Credit has more room to widen before total returns are negatively impacted, especially in high yield.
INSIGHT

European High Yield Opportunity

  • European high yield offers a good starting yield and benefits from a lower default rate environment.
  • Increased fund flows and potential ECB easing further support high yield's attractiveness.
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