Alex chats to eminent scenario planner, futurologist, and best-selling author Richard Watson about whether there is any point predicting anything in such a volatile environment and finds that scenario planning is not a passive pursuit but about shaping the future. A wide-ranging, illuminating, and inspirational conversation.
Stay tuned to the end for a goodies giveaway!
***SPONSOR US AT KO-FI.COM/QUIETRIOTPOD***
“I’m not trying to be right about things. I’m trying to help people be less wrong. What I’m trying to do is get people to think and my experience is that most people are putting out fires dealing with quarterly results, annual results, four- or five-year election cycles. There are very few people thinking a generation ahead.”
“The thing that’s problematic at the moment for a lot of people running organisations is not so much the speed of things, the volatility, or the unexpected events, but the sheer amount of information. I can’t pay attention to everything, so to what do I pay attention? How do I pick?”
“The one trend organisations should be paying more attention to than anything else is societal ageing and declining fertility. Related to that is ‘the war for talent’. You have a shrinking workforce and moving into a more protectionist era. The fight to attract and retain talent will intensify.”
“People tend to think of the future in binary terms. That something new will happen that will kill something that’s been around for a while. But the future is ‘and’ not ‘or’. Look at Ukraine, you have First World War trenches on one level, but also drones and satellites.”
“I think the future has always been open and we should spend more time thinking what we want it to be, rather than only what it will be.”
Richard Watson's books can be found here.
Richard Watson's bookshelf can be found here.
Richard Watson & Lavie Tidhar's children's book can be found here.
Find us on Facebook and Twitter as @quietriotpod. On Bluesky click here for our Starter Pack. Email us at quietriotpod@gmail.com. Or visit our website www.quietriotpod.com.
***SPONSOR US AT KO-FI.COM/QUIETRIOTPOD***
With Naomi Smith, Alex Andreou and Kenny Campbell – in cahoots with Sandstone Global.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices