Waze Co-Founder Uri Levine explains generative AI's potential. Hema Parmar and Javier Avalos discuss secondary market for venture assets. Shena Ashley shares diversity thoughts in small business. Veronica Clark talks market performance and rate expectations.
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Quick takeaways
The Federal Reserve is focused on addressing inflation as its number one focus, expecting two more rate hikes this year and reaching a terminal rate of $5.50 to $5.75.
Mortgage rates and home prices contribute to higher mortgage payments and concerns about housing affordability, with constrained housing supply contributing to upward pressure on home prices.
Deep dives
Fed's Focus on Inflation and Rate Hikes
Veronica Clark, economist at Citigroup, explains that the Federal Reserve is focused on raising rates and slowing down activity due to persistently high inflation. Clark expects two more rate hikes this year, with the Fed reaching a $5.50 to $5.75 terminal rate. She believes the Fed is doing the right thing by addressing inflation as its number one focus.
Housing Affordability and Rising Mortgage Payments
Veronica Clark discusses the issue of housing affordability, noting that mortgage rates and home prices are contributing to higher mortgage payments. This has led to increased concerns about the ability of consumers to keep up with housing costs. The constrained supply of housing also contributes to upward pressure on home prices.
The Importance of the Labor Market
Veronica Clark emphasizes that the strength of the labor market is crucial for economic growth and consumer spending. As long as the labor market remains strong, the economy will continue to experience robust spending and home buying activity. Clark suggests that the labor market is a leading indicator of future economic conditions, and many are expecting a mild recession and slowdown in the labor market later this year.
Concentration of Unemployment Claims
Veronica Clark discusses unemployment claims data, noting that the recent increase in initial jobless claims has been relatively concentrated in a few states. She highlights the importance of monitoring whether the increase in claims is broad-based across states, as this could indicate a more concerning trend. Clark advises looking at the details and understanding the reasons behind the claims to interpret the data accurately.
Waze Co-Founder Uri Levine explains how generative AI will change the world. Bloomberg News Hedge Fund Reporter Hema Parmar and Javier Avalos, Co-founder & CEO of Caplight, discuss the secondary market for venture assets. Shena Ashley, President of Capital One Insights Center, shares her thoughts on diversity in small business. And we Drive to the Close with Veronica Clark, Economist at Citigroup. Hosts: Carol Massar and Matt Miller. Producer: Paul Brennan.