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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

How Tariffs Jeopardize The Soft Landing | Jonny Matthews, former Brevan Partner, on Bond Yields, Japanese Yen, and Gold

Mar 5, 2025
Jonny Matthews, a former partner at Brevan Howard and current portfolio manager at Fordham Capital, dives into the economic implications of tariffs, emphasizing their role in driving inflation and affecting growth. He discusses market trends, particularly the bearish outlook for the S&P 500, and the complex dynamics of currency markets, including the dollar-yen exchange rate. Matthews also highlights gold's increasing importance as a safe asset amid global uncertainties, making a case for cautious investment strategies in today's volatile landscape.
01:11:29

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Tariffs undermine economic growth and increase unemployment, disproportionately affecting low-income households who struggle with rising prices.
  • The complexity of modern supply chains presents challenges for tariff implementation, complicating efforts to apply tariffs uniformly across industries.

Deep dives

The Economic Impact of Tariffs

Tariffs raise prices and slow economic growth, leading to negative consequences such as increased unemployment and worsened inequality. An expert highlighted that Trump inherited a robust economy, yet the introduction of tariffs could disrupt this stability. The anticipated revenue from tariffs is relatively small compared to the economic damages incurred, prompting critics to label the tariffs as economically illiterate. An emphasis was placed on the potential adverse effects on households living paycheck to paycheck, which may bear the brunt of heightened prices resulting from tariffs.

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