Hold Your Fire! Will he? Won’t he? The Trump Iran Show
Jun 21, 2025
In this discussion, guests include Ali Vaez, Crisis Group's Iran director, shedding light on the impact of Israeli strikes on Iran's nuclear capabilities. Mairav Zonszein, Israel expert, reveals the prevailing sentiments among Israelis and Netanyahu's goals. Yasmine Farouk offers insights into Gulf states' views on the escalating conflict. Michael Hanna highlights Trump's shifting stance, posing questions about U.S. involvement and the potential for diplomatic resolutions amidst rising tensions. Together, they navigate the intricate landscape of Middle Eastern geopolitics.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Iran’s Internet Blackout and Panic
- Iran imposed an internet blackout to disable Israeli AI drone systems during airstrikes.
- Tehran residents experience panic due to sudden attacks and lack of advanced shelters.
Damage to Iran’s Nuclear and Missile Capacity
- Israeli strikes damaged Iran's Natanz nuclear facility and missile depots but left Fordow largely intact.
- Iran still retains powerful missiles and advanced nuclear enrichment capability underground at Fordow.
Iran’s Leadership Resilience to Strikes
- Iran's state structure is resilient to decapitation strikes unlike non-state groups like Hezbollah.
- Iran’s leadership quickly replaced killed commanders without causing system paralysis.