The Julia La Roche Show

#313 Hugh Hendry On Preparing For The Dawn Of Chaos

38 snips
Dec 5, 2025
Hugh Hendry, a former global macro hedge fund manager and founder of Eclectica Asset Management, returns to share his bold investment strategies. He introduces his 'macro compass' portfolio, emphasizing a mix of equities, treasuries, alternatives like Bitcoin, and cash. Hendry warns of impending AI-driven unemployment and predicts that government redistribution will disrupt inflation controls. He also highlights the risks facing the UK economy and argues why tech valuations may be peaking, making this a compelling discussion for anyone interested in macroeconomic trends.
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INSIGHT

Four-Quadrant Macro Compass

  • Hugh Hendry uses a four-quadrant "macro compass" to diversify permanently across equities, treasuries, alternatives, and cash.
  • He rebalances periodically to keep equal volatility contribution from each quadrant.
ADVICE

Buy Long Sideways Breakouts

  • Buy assets that have broken long sideways ranges, like Japanese equities after a 35-year breakout.
  • Use momentum and price breakouts rather than trying to predict every economic rationale.
ADVICE

Buy Treasuries After Big Declines

  • Rebalance into long-duration US Treasuries after their large price decline and mean reversion.
  • Own TLT now because long bonds have halved and offer attractive entry despite inflation fears.
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