More or Less: Behind the Stats

Election claims and erection claims

Jun 26, 2024
Delving into political claims on mortgages, pension taxes, and funding disparities. Exploring the physiology of erections and debunking misconceptions. Analyzing the complexities of MRP polls in predicting voting behavior and swing distribution. Examining the uncertainties in forecasting election results and the impact of vote distribution. Investigating the implications of imposing a price cap on croissants and the cost of a croissant subsidy.
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ANECDOTE

The Truss Effect on Mortgages

  • Keir Starmer claimed Liz Truss's policies increased mortgages for the last two years.
  • This is incorrect; her effect on mortgages was limited to about two months.
ANECDOTE

Pensioners and Income Tax

  • Rishi Sunak claimed pensioners would face an unprecedented income tax on state pensions if he wasn't elected.
  • Data show about 1.5 million pensioners already pay income tax on their state pensions.
ANECDOTE

Liberal Democrats' Care Funding Pledge

  • The Liberal Democrats pledged free personal care, costing £2.7 billion yearly.
  • They claim existing plans cover some costs, but the Conservatives haven't allocated additional funding.
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