Widening: spreads, fiscal deficits and BRICS

In this week’s CIO Weekly Investment Outlook podcast, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer in APAC, Stefanie Holtze-Jen discusses widening spreads in U.S. rates, China’s stimulus impact and the growing list of emerging markets joining the BRICS alliance.

Stefanie says U.S. long-term rates are expected to stay higher because of market expectations that deficit spending will continue regardless of the outcome of the election and a Fed that continues with monetary easing as long as inflation allows, reflating the economy. She points to the raft of data coming this week, including the important unemployment data, PCE inflation and third quarter GDP data for a reading on growth.

For Asia, Stefanie notes Japan’s general elections and the Bank of Japan’s inflation target. With the market eyeing China PMI and industrial data due this week, Stefanie also discusses how market participants have responded to China’s stimulus package announced on August 24.

Finally, Stefanie touches upon the latest BRICS meeting. Reportedly 13 new emerging markets, including Southeast Asia countries, are joining the BRICS trade alliance, as the major economies seek to secure commodities for the energy transition.

Tune in and listen to Stefanie’s key thoughts for the week ahead.

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