Bruce Mehlman: Are both parties trying to lose in 2024?
Oct 12, 2023
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Bruce Mehlman, partner at Mehlman Consulting, discusses the weaknesses of both parties for 2024. Topics include primary challenges against Joe Biden, the rise of third party candidates, the ongoing political divide, long-term optimism, changing media landscape, and ranked choice voting.
Democrats and Republicans have different levels of trust in key institutions, leading to a fragmented political landscape.
The possibility of a third-party challenge in the 2024 election could disrupt the outcome, despite its unlikelihood of winning.
Technological advancements have disrupted the media landscape, leading to fragmented facts and a decline in trusted sources.
Deep dives
The role of elites and the base in the Democratic and Republican parties
The Democratic base believes Biden should be challenged in a primary, while the party elites focus on winning the election. On the other hand, Republican elites support Trump as the best option for success, while the Republican base leads the party's direction. This inversion of roles has led to a unique political landscape.
The potential impact of a third-party challenge in the 2024 election
The possibility of a third-party challenge in the 2024 election could have significant consequences. While it is unlikely that a third-party candidate would win, the presence of a third-party could disrupt the election and potentially affect the outcome. However, the challenges associated with third-party viability, such as the need to secure 270 electoral college votes and the influence of the two major parties, make it an unlikely scenario.
The disruption of traditional media and the rise of diverse news sources
The internet and technological advancements have greatly disrupted the traditional media landscape. People now have access to a wide variety of news sources and opinions, allowing them to curate their own media diet. While this offers more options for individuals, it has also led to the fragmentation of shared facts and the decline of trusted referees in American politics.
The impact of social media and the amplification of polarization
Social media platforms have played a significant role in amplifying political polarization. The competition for attention has led to the rise of snarky, narrative-driven news coverage. This has contributed to the polarization of the media landscape and the reinforcement of existing beliefs, making it more difficult to find balanced and objective reporting.
The long-term optimism for technological advancements and progress
Despite the current challenges and divisions, there is long-term optimism for technological advancements and progress. The availability and affordability of medical treatment, improvements in health outcomes, the reduction of global poverty, and increased diversity and inclusion are all positive trends that give hope for the future. It is important to recognize that throughout history, progress has continued despite temporary setbacks and challenges.
Democrats don't trust the Supreme Court, Republicans don't trust the FBI or mainstream media, and everyone is paranoid about deepfakes. Bruce Mehlman, partner at Mehlman Consulting, joins Chuck to discuss both parties' biggest weaknesses ahead of 2024.
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