The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence) cover image

The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence)

Are LLMs Good at Causal Reasoning? with Robert Osazuwa Ness - #638

Jul 17, 2023
48:21

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Large language models like GPT-3, 3.5, and 4 show promising results in capturing pairwise and full-graph causal relationships, but have limitations in answering specific causal reasoning questions.
  • Prompt engineering is crucial for accurate results with large language models, highlighting the need for better ways to evaluate models and the potential for reinforcement learning approaches to enhance causal reasoning.

Deep dives

Large Language Models and Causal Reasoning

The podcast episode explores the topic of large language models and their potential for causal reasoning. The guest, Robert Ness, discusses a recent paper on causal reasoning and large language models, highlighting the implications and challenges in this field. The models were tested on benchmarks for pairwise causal discovery and full-graph causal discovery, showing promising results. However, they also had limitations and vulnerabilities to prompt manipulation. The episode raises questions about the models' ability to generalize, use domain knowledge, and understand context. It also suggests the potential of reinforcement learning to train models on specific causal tasks. Robert mentions interesting work by Atticus Geiger on interleaved intervention training. Finally, Robert shares his reading recommendation on a book about parenting and causal inference by Emily Oster.

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