At Any Rate cover image

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: Gold & Silver—Citius, Altius, Fortius

Jul 26, 2024
The discussion centers on the bullish outlook for gold and silver, driven by various economic factors. With the Fed's potential rate cuts and the volatile election landscape, these metals remain appealing. Physical demand from China may have cooled, but concerns about US fiscal deficits and geopolitical risks keep interest alive. Growth in gold and silver ETF holdings hints at a shift in investor sentiment, with gold outperforming despite challenges for silver, which may find recovery through industrial demand.
10:42

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The upcoming Fed cutting cycle and historical trends suggest a strong potential for gold and silver price rallies post-election.
  • Despite a decrease in physical demand from China, supportive macroeconomic factors are expected to bolster gold and silver markets through 2025.

Deep dives

Bullish Outlook for Precious Metals

The forecast for both gold and silver remains positive, driven by key economic indicators suggesting a Fed cutting cycle is on the horizon. Historical performance indicates that precious metals tend to thrive in periods following initial Fed cuts, with the BECOM precious metals index reflecting consistent positive returns in similar contexts. With risks of sharper labor market declines prompting quicker cuts, gold and silver could experience significant price rallies akin to those seen after previous recessions in 2007 and 2019. Additionally, ongoing issues such as US fiscal deficits and central bank diversification strategies, compounded by potential shifts in policy post the upcoming election, are expected to create a supportive environment for these metals through 2025.

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