Bits + Bips: Is US Politics Driving the ETH ETF Approval? - Ep. 649
May 21, 2024
The discussion heats up around the sudden increase in approval odds for Ethereum ETFs, with hosts speculating on political pressure from the Biden administration. They ponder how institutional demand could reshape investment strategies and influence the upcoming U.S. elections. The conversation also dives into stablecoins and their effect on U.S. financial power, debates over low float/high FDV coins, and insights into the trading psyche behind the 'Coinbase premium.' Will new crypto ETFs emerge? Tune in for predictions!
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insights INSIGHT
Unexpected ETH ETF Approval
The SEC's sudden engagement in ETH ETF approvals just two days before the deadline shocked everyone involved.
This suggests a political decision, possibly from above the SEC, driven by pressure and potential vote losses.
question_answer ANECDOTE
Coinbase Premium and Volatility
Joe McCann observed the widest Ethereum Coinbase premium ever, indicating strong U.S. institutional demand.
This, along with doubling at-the-money implied volatility, suggests Ethereum's price is heading higher.
insights INSIGHT
ETH to All-Time Highs
Alex Kruger believes ETH ETF approval will likely lead to all-time highs for ETH very soon.
The market is not positioned for this due to widespread negative sentiment and low price expectations.
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With ETH spot ETFs now more likely than ever, Bits + Bips hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger, and Joe McCann delve into the reasons behind this shift, surmising that the reversal may have come from powers above the SEC—perhaps in the Biden administration.
The three hosts surmise that ETH will likely reach all-time highs, discuss how this changes their election trading strategy and ponder where there is enough institutional demand for ether ETFs. They also look at whether the potential approval could sway the US elections.
Plus, they share insights into stablecoins and how they strengthen the US’s political power globally, dive into the debate on low float/high FDV coins, and also take a peek at what they think could be the potential next crypto spot ETF.
Show highlights:
Why the chances of an ETH ETF suddenly reversed
What the "Coinbase premium" is and how Joe uses it for trading
Why Alex believes that ETH is heading to all-time highs
Whether there's institutional demand for spot ether ETFs
The political pressure that led to this change
Whether the ETH ETF will change the course of the US elections
The broader macroeconomics conditions and how Alex thinks to trade the US elections
How US dollar-pegged stablecoins promote USD hegemony
The debate about high FDV, low float coins, and whether there is a solution
Whether new crypto spot ETFs will be approved
Hosts:
James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence