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Independent Thinking

Do sanctions work?

Oct 11, 2024
Daniel W. Drezner, a Tufts University professor and sanctions expert, joins Allie Renison, a trade policy specialist, and Chris Sabatini, a Latin America researcher, to delve into the complexities of sanctions. They discuss how sanctions can hold governments accountable but often harm ordinary citizens. The conversation covers historical and contemporary case studies, the evolution of sanctions post-EU for the UK, and the unintended consequences on economies and political alliances. They also ponder the dollar's status and the moral dilemmas surrounding the effectiveness of sanctions.
30:38

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Quick takeaways

  • Sanctions can lead to increased corruption and the rise of black markets, complicating future economic recovery in affected nations.
  • The effectiveness of sanctions varies widely, with historical examples illustrating both successful outcomes and significant unintended consequences.

Deep dives

The Impact of Sanctions on Corruption and Black Markets

Sanctions, regardless of their intended purpose, often lead to increased corruption and the proliferation of black market activities within the target economy. As governments impose restrictions on trade and finance, individuals and groups are incentivized to find alternative means to sustain their livelihoods, resulting in illicit markets that can thrive under such conditions. For instance, in Venezuela, sanctions instigated cooperation between countries like Iran and Russia, helping Venezuela circumvent sanctions by establishing illicit channels for oil processing and trade. This corruption creates a legacy in the affected nation, where these networks persist long after the sanctions are lifted, complicating future economic recovery and stability.

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