Moneyball Highlights: NFL Playoffs With Aaron Schatz
Jan 24, 2024
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Guest Aaron Schatz, Chief Analytics Officer with FTN Fantasy, discusses the NFL Divisional Round playoff games, upcoming Conference Championship games, increased randomness in NFL games, and more. Topics include the performance of the Packers vs 49ers game, the decline in defense, Chiefs' offensive performance, Josh Allen's quarterback skills, and Bill Belichick's coaching abilities.
Randomness plays a significant role in NFL games, affecting outcomes and making predictions challenging.
The Buffalo Bills may need to rebuild and reset their team before making another playoff run.
Deep dives
Aaron Schatz discusses the NFL playoffs and upcoming games
During the podcast, Aaron Schatz shares his thoughts on the NFL playoffs and the upcoming games for the weekend. He mentions the Buffalo Bills' history of close losses and the randomness in the NFL. Schatz also highlights his own statistical analysis, ranking the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers as historically great teams based on DVOA ratings, which is a unique perspective compared to other advanced metrics.
Analysis of the recent Packers vs. 49ers game
The podcast delves into a discussion about the recent game between the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers. Schatz and the hosts assess the performance and potential strengths and weaknesses of each team. Despite a loss, the Packers are regarded as having left points on the field, outplaying the 49ers in certain aspects. However, Schatz emphasizes the importance of accounting for off-days and random variations that even the best teams in history experience. The impact of weather and quarterback struggles due to rain are also mentioned.
Outlook on the conference championships and the future of the Buffalo Bills
The podcast concludes with discussions on the upcoming conference championships and the future prospects of the Buffalo Bills. Schatz highlights the challenges the Bills may face due to salary cap problems, potential defensive lineup changes, and the need for retrenchment and rebuilding. While acknowledging Josh Allen's exceptional season and talent as a quarterback, Schatz suggests that the Bills may need a couple of years to reset and build a new team before making another playoff run. The importance of considering the divisional landscape and potential changes in the AFC East is also emphasized.
Wharton's Cade Massey, Eric Bradlow, and Shane Jensen speak with Aaron Schatz, Chief Analytics Officer with FTN Fantasy, about the NFL Divisional Round playoff games, the upcoming Conference Championship games, the increased randomness in NFL games, and more.