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China Considered

US-China Policy in Trump 2.0

Nov 19, 2024
Matt Pottinger, a former senior aide in the Trump Administration, and Evan Medeiros, a top advisor during Obama's presidency, provide insights into the turbulent U.S.-China relationship. They discuss the potential ramifications of Trump's re-election on trade policies and tariffs, and how U.S. alliances with European and Asian partners are evolving. The conversation highlights the balance Beijing must strike between diplomacy and competition, and stresses the need for continuous dialogue amidst rising tensions. Historical parallels with Nixon and Mao are also explored.
50:21

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Biden administration views China as a primary long-term strategic threat, emphasizing military and economic modernization while revitalizing alliances.
  • Trump's potential second term may lead to drastically increased tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a shift towards a more confrontational trade policy.

Deep dives

Biden Administration's China Strategy

The Biden administration has defined China as the most significant long-term strategic threat to the United States, which is recognized as a 'pacing threat' in terms of military, economic, and diplomatic challenges. Their strategy revolves around 'invest, align, and compete,' focusing on internal balancing through military and economic modernization, exemplified by initiatives like the CHIPS Act. Additionally, the administration emphasizes external balancing via the revitalization of alliances in Europe and Asia, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which created a more receptive environment for these partnerships. This strategic approach intends to strengthen alliances as a means to deter aggressive Chinese behavior and protect U.S. interests in the Asia-Pacific region.

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