Unchained How Maduro's Capture and a 'Pre-War World' Affects Bitcoin: Bits + Bips
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Jan 7, 2026 Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, joins the discussion on the geopolitical implications of the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. He shares insights on the surge of Bitcoin past $94,000 and analyzes how crypto markets react more swiftly to world events compared to traditional finance. Tchir also explores potential investment opportunities in Latin America, the shift from ESG to a 'production for security' framework, and the strategic message this operation sends to global powers like China and Russia.
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Surgical Power Projection Changes Markets
- The U.S. raid on Maduro signaled precise, low-footprint power projection replacing large-scale occupations.
- That shift reassures markets and boosts high-beta assets like Bitcoin and miners.
Political Wins Fuel Market Risk Appetite
- The operation strengthens the narrative that Trump 'gets what he wants', which lifted risky assets and market confidence.
- That political tailwind may directly support crypto adoption and regulatory momentum in the U.S.
Raid Lowers Energy Disruption Premium
- Markets interpreted the raid as reducing the risk of a prolonged Venezuelan energy disruption.
- That perception helped push down energy-risk premia even if immediate Venezuelan supply gains are uncertain.